Bitcoin is moving into one of the most important macro events of 2026; the September meeting of the Federal Reserve. It has become a focus for traders because any interest rate decision has an impact on liquidity, and consequently, on risk assets like Bitcoin. This particular situation is very interesting, as the markets do not anticipate any rate cuts. Indeed, according to a Polymarket contract, there was a probability of 60% of a rate hike by 25 basis points during the September 16th meeting of the FOMC, 39% of no changes, and 2% of rate cuts. In turn, the Kalshi community saw chances of a Fed rate increase at 68%.