Bitcoin has gone through four US midterm elections. After the three with a real market, BTC was up 23% (2014), 45% (2018), and 93% (2022) one year later, an average of about 54%. The first month was weaker, with drops of 45.5% after 2018 and 7% after 2022. The 2026 midterms are on November 3, 2026, with BTC at $76,681, 39% below its peak. Prediction markets give Democrats a 93.6% to 95% chance of winning the House and 76% for the Senate. Crypto super PACs have spent more than in any earlier midterm, and the main crypto bill is stuck in the Senate.