Why Bitmart And Bitmex Shutdowns Have Analysts Calling A Bottom

What Happened

AscendEX announced on July 6 that it had stopped operating on July 1. It pointed to the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) rules, a failed financing deal, and market pressure.

While analysts see the exchange shakeout as a constructive long-term development, it is not definitive evidence that the market has bottomed. Macro conditions, liquidity, regulation, and investor demand will continue to play a much larger role in shaping crypto’s next cycle.

Market Context

Moonrock Capital founder and managing partner Simon Dedic argued that the recent closures of several centralised crypto exchanges reflect deeper flaws in the industry’s business model.

“The extraction model has a fatal flaw: it needs a steady supply of victims. When those dry up, so does the business. One of the underrated perks of a brutal bear: the market is actually healing,” he noted.

“Bottoming is a process. It’s a process where the market consolidates and the fittest survive… The next cycle will be dominated by licensed exchanges and institutional capital.”

Neuner also argued that a smaller market would amplify any returning liquidity. That thesis depends on licensing regimes arriving.

He attributed the trend to the prolonged bear market, fading retail interest in altcoins, lower futures trading volumes, tighter regulation, and unsustainable operating costs.

While he said the industry-wide purge is necessary to remove weaker players, he warned it could also lead to greater market concentration and fewer dominant exchanges.

BitMart and BitMEX both cited market conditions and strategy as the reason for winding down. Neither described a financial failure. Still, analysts have flagged lost market share and a failed sale as the reasons behind BitMEX’s exit.

Why It Matters

Meanwhile, crypto analyst StarPlatinum said the recent closures of BitMEX and BitMart could mark the beginning of a broader shakeout among centralised exchanges.

Details

The BitMart and BitMEX shutdowns have drawn bullish reactions, with analysts calling the closures a healthy reset.

BitMart began winding down on Sunday, three days after BitMEX confirmed its own exit. AscendEX closed on July 1, bringing the total number of exchange closures this month to 3.

How Analysts Read the BitMart and BitMEX Shutdowns

Ran Neuner, CEO of Crypto Banter, made a cycle-timing argument instead. According to him,

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