Quick Take
  • Wall Street’s AI trade suffered a brutal setback last week as investors questioned technology valuations and the threat of tighter AI regulation.
  • Bitcoin, meanwhile, remained near $76,000 over the weekend, well below its earlier recovery above $80,000.
  • Will Bitcoin’s bearish outlook remain longer than the stock market?
  • The selloff hit semiconductor stocks particularly hard.

What Happened

Wall Street’s AI trade suffered a brutal setback last week as investors questioned technology valuations and the threat of tighter AI regulation. Bitcoin followed, falling to $75,000.

A proposal to ban artificial superintelligence, introduced before the election, has added to regulatory uncertainty. Its passage remains far from certain.

For Bitcoin, the bigger concern is financial. Technology stocks and cryptocurrencies both depend heavily on investors’ willingness to take risks.

Higher interest rates can weaken demand for speculative investments while making safer, yield-bearing assets more attractive. Even a recovery in AI valuations may struggle to offset those pressures.

Market Context

Will Bitcoin’s bearish outlook remain longer than the stock market?

The selloff hit semiconductor stocks particularly hard. According to Bitunix’s November 6 market research, Nvidia lost 15% over the reporting week, while Intel and Micron suffered considerably steeper declines.

Interestingly, Bitunix’s research found that cryptocurrencies were relatively resilient during the initial stock-market decline.

Some smaller assets performed much better. CAP surged 34.54%, despite its underlying protocol’s total value locked falling from nearly $300 million to around $180 million.

However, as Bitunix analysts warned, the market still “lacks a clear catalyst for sustained upside.”

Why It Matters

The immediate concern was political. Democrats’ midterm victory increased expectations of tighter oversight of AI development.

If money continues leaving speculative assets, Bitcoin could face selling pressure even without another AI-stock crash.

Why Crypto Initially Held Up Better Than Expected

The divergence suggests selective speculative buying continued even as broader confidence weakened.

Why Bitcoin Could Face More Selling

Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve has become another obstacle. Friday’s stronger-than-expected US jobs report increased expectations of another interest-rate hike.

What Could Bring Bitcoin Buyers Back?

Softer inflation could ease pressure on the Fed and support risk assets. Persistent inflation would strengthen the case for tighter monetary policy.

Details

But something interesting happened next. The Nasdaq rebounded 1.1% on Friday. Bitcoin, meanwhile, remained near $76,000 over the weekend, well below its earlier recovery above $80,000.

The AI Crash Exposed Bitcoin’s Growing Vulnerability

Of the 300 leading tokens tracked on the exchange, roughly half recorded weekly gains. Their median return was just -0.06%.

The latest institutional data adds another concern.

US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $1.28 billion in net outflows between November 2 and November 6. Friday alone accounted for approximately $412 million in withdrawals.

That selling pressure persisted even as technology shares began recovering.

The next test is the US inflation report on November 10.