Trump Praises Crypto For Easing Dollar Burden – Ironically, That Could Hurt Bitcoin
- as “the bitcoin superpower” and “crypto capital of the world.”
- Bitcoin has historically exhibited an inverse correlation of approximately -0.7 with the U.S.
- Dollar Index (DXY), meaning a strengthened dollar typically suppresses Bitcoin prices while dollar weakness tends to boost them.
- Conversely, the 2020-21 easing period saw dollar weakness coincide with Bitcoin’s rally to then-record highs around $64,000.
What Happened
The crypto typically attracts capital when investors seek alternatives to weakening fiat currencies, not when traditional money strengthens.
Market Context
President Donald Trump declared crypto “takes a lot of pressure off the dollar” during a speech at Miami’s America Business Forum on November 5, 2025, positioning the U.S. as “the bitcoin superpower” and “crypto capital of the world.”
Bitcoin has historically exhibited an inverse correlation of approximately -0.7 with the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), meaning a strengthened dollar typically suppresses Bitcoin prices while dollar weakness tends to boost them.
Market observers note Bitcoin behaves more like a high-beta risk asset than a safe haven, rising with loose financial conditions and falling during liquidity withdrawals.
Similarly, Eric Trump recently told the New York Post that stablecoins could “save the U.S. dollar” by channeling “trillions from around the world” into U.S. markets through World Liberty Financial’s USD1 token.
Market Dynamics Reveal Dollar-Bitcoin Tension in Real Time
Recent market action demonstrates the paradox between the dollar and Bitcoin.
The pattern repeated on Thursday when better-than-expected services activity and payroll figures lifted the dollar to a five-month peak, capping Bitcoin’s recovery even as it climbed back above $103,000.
Current trading reflects this dollar dominance. Despite Bitcoin’s Thursday bounce, traders described a “buy the dip, sell the rip” bias, with rapid profit-taking, as the higher-for-longer rate narrative and firm dollar limit follow-through persisted.
Why It Matters
Beyond regulatory relief, Trump framed crypto adoption as economically strategic, suggesting digital assets could alleviate strain on the dollar while positioning America as the global leader in both crypto and artificial intelligence, where he claimed the U.S. leads China “by a lot.”
Trump’s endorsement reflects growing momentum behind stablecoins and strategic Bitcoin reserves in Washington, yet economic fundamentals suggest an inherent tension.
If cryptocurrency genuinely reduces pressure on the dollar by offering alternative transaction and store-of-value mechanisms, a stronger dollar could paradoxically undermine Bitcoin’s appeal.
Rate expectations for a December Fed cut slipped to 60% from 70% earlier in the week, keeping yields firm and the dollar elevated.
Details
Speaking to thousands of attendees, Trump credited his executive orders with ending what he called the federal government’s “war on crypto,” contrasting his approach with the Biden administration’s enforcement-heavy stance, which he said left industry figures “under indictment.”
The Dollar-Bitcoin Paradox
During the Federal Reserve’s 2022 tightening cycle, the DXY surged to 114, while Bitcoin crashed from $47,000 to below $17,000, a textbook demonstration of this inverse relationship.
Conversely, the 2020-21 easing period saw dollar weakness coincide with Bitcoin’s rally to then-record highs around $64,000.
Academic research using wavelet analysis confirms Bitcoin’s out-of-phase dynamics with the dollar, though the relationship remains “more sporadic” than with conventional assets.
Strategic Reserve and Stablecoin Push
Senator Cynthia Lummis recently called a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve “the only path“ to meaningfully offset America’s $35 trillion debt burden, praising the Trump administration for embracing the concept.
She revealed Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and White House staff are exploring structures beyond simply revaluing gold certificates, though financing details remain unclear.
The administration’s March fact sheet indicated the reserve would start with over 130,000 BTC already held through criminal forfeitures, worth approximately $34 billion, without requiring new taxpayer spending.
However, critics, including Representative Maxine Waters and Senator Elizabeth Warren, have warned of what they see as conflicts of interest, noting the GENIUS Act stablecoin framework signed in July contains no provisions preventing the president or family members from profiting.
When surprisingly strong U.S. jobs data emerged in late September, initial claims dropped to 218,000, and Q2 GDP was revised upward to 3.8%. The U.S. Dollar Index surged to a three-week high while Bitcoin tumbled below $111,000.