Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Fed Delivers, Yet Fails To Impress Btc Traders
- BTC price action approaches a key descending trendline that could determine its next directional move.
- Meanwhile, institutional flows into Spot Bitcoin ETFs showed mild inflows, and Strategy added more BTC to its treasury reserve.
- Bitcoin price started the week on a positive note, extending its weekend recovery during the first half of the week and holding above $92,600 on Tuesday.
- However, momentum softened on Wednesday, with BTC closing at $92,015 after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.
What Happened
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to trade within the recent consolidation phase, hovering around $90,000 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors digest the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) cautious December rate cut and its implications for risk assets.
According to SoSoValue data, US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a total inflow of $237.44 million through Thursday, following a mild outflow of $87.77 million a week earlier, signaling that institutional investor interest improved somewhat.
On the corporate front, Strategy Inc. (MSTR) announced on Monday that it purchased 10,624 Bitcoin for $962.7 million between December 1 and 7 at an average price of $90,615.
Market Context
BTC price action approaches a key descending trendline that could determine its next directional move. Meanwhile, institutional flows into Spot Bitcoin ETFs showed mild inflows, and Strategy added more BTC to its treasury reserve.
Bitcoin price started the week on a positive note, extending its weekend recovery during the first half of the week and holding above $92,600 on Tuesday.
However, momentum softened on Wednesday, with BTC closing at $92,015 after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting.
Adding to the cautious tone, policymakers projected only a one-quarter-percentage-point cut for the overall 2026 outlook. This was the same outlook as in September, which tempered market expectations of two rate cuts and contributed to short-term pressure on risk assets.
All these factors weighed on riskier assets, with the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization sliding to a low of $89,260 before rebounding and finishing above $92,500 on Thursday.
With no major US data releases ahead, crypto markets will now look to FOMC member speeches and broader risk sentiment for direction
The firm currently holds 660,624 BTC, valued at $49.35 billion. Strategy still retains substantial capacity to raise additional capital, potentially allowing for further large-scale Bitcoin accumulation.
Why It Matters
In a widely expected move, the Fed lowered interest rates by 25 basis points. But the FOMC meeting signaled a likely pause in January.
The Fed’s cautious tone, combined with disappointing Oracle earnings, contributed to a brief risk-off move.
BTC is likely to consolidate in the near term unless a significant catalyst emerges.
Russia-Ukraine Uncertainty Limits Risk-on Momentum
These lingering geopolitical tensions and stalled peace talks continue to weigh on global risk sentiment, limiting risk-on appetite and contributing to Bitcoin’s consolidation so far this week.
Details
Fed’s Policy Tone Triggers Consolidation in Bitcoin
at the end of the week.
On the geopolitical front, US President Donald Trump is “extremely frustrated” with Russia and Ukraine, and he doesn’t want any more talk, his spokeswoman said on Thursday.
Earlier, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that the US was pushing the country to cede land to Russia as part of an agreement to end a nearly four-year war.
Institutional Demand Sees Mild Signs of Improvement
Institutional demand for Bitcoin shows mild signs of improvement.
However, these weekly inflows remain small relative to those observed in mid-September. For BTC to continue its recovery, the ETF inflows should intensify.
On-Chain Data Shows Easing Selling Pressure
CryptoQuant’s weekly report on Wednesday highlights that selling pressure on Bitcoin is beginning to ease.