by Coinstrooper Crypto Articles
Quick Take
  • Today’s Bitcoin price prediction shows that if hashrate stops accelerating, the “Growth Floor” breakout could push price above $100,000.
  • According to analysis shared by renewable energy Engineer David, Bitcoin miners are surviving on cash flow but losing money on a full-cycle basis.
  • Inefficient rigs (cost >$90,000) are underwater now.
  • However, these miners don’t exit; they bleed until the network recovers.

What Happened

Miners Surviving on Cash Flow, Bleeding Long-Term

According to analysis shared by renewable energy Engineer David, Bitcoin miners are surviving on cash flow but losing money on a full-cycle basis.

Inefficient rigs (cost >$90,000) are underwater now. However, these miners don’t exit; they bleed until the network recovers.

Market Context

The physics behind Bitcoin’s price reveals the miner energy floor, where full-cycle costs (capex + downtime + taxes) at 8.6¢/kWh, currently sit at $93,000, with miners breaking even at $96,000.

Today’s Bitcoin price prediction shows that if hashrate stops accelerating, the “Growth Floor” breakout could push price above $100,000.

David added that everyone watches the Bitcoin price, but almost no one watches the machine underneath.

“Right now, demand is winning the war but losing every battle.” $1.2 billion flowed into spot ETFs this week, and the price moved sideways. “That’s not failure. That’s absorption.”

Currently, the $90,000 level represents the hedge. Bitcoin miners are long gamma there, selling when the price rises, buying when it falls.

Every buy meets a hedge sell, every dip gets bought back, and this makes the range tighten and would eventually crush volatility.

Coins are currently being transferred from weak hands to strong hands at stable prices.

According to David, as volatility gets crushed, price compresses into the tight $93,000-$96,000 range. The major resistance wall sits at $100,000.

When it fades and demand returns, price doesn’t grind higher; it resets higher.

The market is pinned by dealers, and the math points to bigger upside once the tight range breaks.

Price doesn’t break free by force; it moves when the hedge weakens.

At the start of the year, Bitcoin’s price sits around $91,300 with 100% hedge strength.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Daily Chart Shows Base Formation Above $80K

The 1-day Bitcoin chart shows price stabilizing after a sharp correction, with structure depending on well-defined technical levels.

Why It Matters

By late January, the hedge is expected to fall toward approximately 43%.

Details

“Bitcoin can trade below its energy floor briefly. It cannot stay there,” David explained.

“Bitcoin isn’t stuck, it’s being compressed,” he said

“They’re not betting against Bitcoin. They’re hedging their book.”

This is bullish because compression doesn’t destroy demand; it stores it.

“This is the most dangerous moment to be bearish,” the Stanford engineer concluded.

Bitcoin trades below the $100,000 psychological threshold, acting as a congestion zone, while the $93,000 miner energy floor has flipped from support into near-term resistance.