Bitcoin Price Prediction: Btc Smashes $94,200 Resistance As Selling Dries Up — $100K Loading?

What Happened

New Bitcoin-Beta Project Offers Investors 38% APY Ahead of BTC $100K+ Rally

Market Context

This bullish movement has shifted the Bitcoin price prediction toward a $100,000 breakout before the end of January.

Practically, this means long-term holders aren’t selling as the price rises.

“This behavior strengthens the quality of the bullish movement, as the price increase is not accompanied by distribution from the market’s most experienced capital,” Alemán explained.

Historically, when Bitcoin’s price rises while VDD remains low, the market tends to be in a healthy expansion phase, where demand absorbs available supply without generating structural selling pressure.

“In this context, the breakout above resistance and continued upward momentum are firmly supported by long-term holder inactivity, reinforcing the idea that the current move is driven by real market strength rather than fragile rebound fueled by short-term speculation,” the analyst added.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Weekly Chart Shows Double-Bottom Formation

Cryptonews analysts explained recently that Bitcoin could see a rally, bringing the price well above the $100,000 psychological level, and this aligns with the technical structure on the weekly timeframe.

The 1W Bitcoin chart shows price stabilizing after a sharp corrective phase, with structure still leaning bullish despite recent volatility.

The clear double-bottom formation around this area suggests strong demand absorption and reinforces the notion that long-term buyers are stepping back in rather than capitulating.

From a trend perspective, Bitcoin remains above the 200-week moving average near $68,000, preserving macro bull market structure. However, price currently trades below the 20-week and 50-week moving averages, clustered around the $97,600-$98,200 zone.

A break above $98,000 would likely shift sentiment decisively bullish, opening pathways for movement toward $103,000 initially, and potentially $111,000 if volume and momentum expand.

Why It Matters

According to on-chain insights shared by Carmelo Alemán, a verified blockchain analyst at CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s Value Days Destroyed (VDD) indicator, which provides a direct reading of long-term holder behavior, suggests that the recent rally still has room to run.

Currently, VDD stands at approximately 0.53 in January 2026, a historically low level, suggesting that bitcoins being transferred are relatively young, meaning older coins remain untouched.

A sustained VDD increase would signal long-term holder distribution that could see Bitcoin challenge the bears’ last defense at $100,000.

Details

Bitcoin has confirmed its strength after breaking through the $94,200 resistance level and nearing the 50-week EMA at $97,200 for the first time in 3 months.

Bitcoin VDD Indicator Shows Long-Term Holders Not Selling

The VDD metric calculates the number of days bitcoins remained inactive before being moved, weighted by the amount transferred.

BTC trades around $95,000, having rebounded from the $86,300 region, which aligns closely with the 100-week moving average and marks a critical higher-low zone.

This area now acts as immediate dynamic resistance, and a decisive weekly close above it would provide early confirmation that bullish momentum is returning.

The horizontal resistance bands at $103,650 and $111,600 represent the most important upside levels.

These zones previously acted as major distribution and rejection areas, making them logical breakout targets if momentum accelerates.

A Bitcoin breakout above $100,000 would benefit established BTC-beta projects like Bitcoin Hyper positively.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) develops the first functional Layer 2 solution for Bitcoin, utilizing Solana-based technology to deliver speed and scalability while preserving Bitcoin’s security model.