Quick Take
  • Ripple is trading around $1.44, following a volatile week that saw the token rebound sharply from the $1.31 area and briefly approach $1.48.
  • XRP has gained roughly 6% to 7% over the past week, although profit-taking has kept the token below its recent highs.
  • With the market heading into the weekend, traders are increasingly focused on a potential regulatory catalyst later this month.
  • Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has given traders another reason to keep the CLARITY Act on their radar.

What Happened

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For the weekend setup, XRP holding roughly $1.40 to $1.45 would keep the rebound intact, while $1.50 is the first major upside test, and $1.35 remains the key downside level.

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Market Context

Ripple is trading around $1.44, following a volatile week that saw the token rebound sharply from the $1.31 area and briefly approach $1.48. XRP has gained roughly 6% to 7% over the past week, although profit-taking has kept the token below its recent highs. With the market heading into the weekend, traders are increasingly focused on a potential regulatory catalyst later this month.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has given traders another reason to keep the CLARITY Act on their radar. Responding to CFTC Chairman Michael Selig’s comments about the administration’s crypto push, Garlinghouse said that “making America the crypto capital of the world is within reach, let’s finish the job.”

For XRP, the regulatory optimism is arriving alongside a market still sensitive to macroeconomic conditions. The CLARITY Act continues to face disagreements over stablecoin rewards, DeFi rules, ethics provisions, and consumer protections. That leaves XRP caught between a potentially bullish regulatory catalyst and broader market volatility.

Can Ripple XRP Price Hit $2.50 Next Week?

XRP’s recent rebound has brought the token back toward the $1.40 to $1.48 range after a sharp selloff pushed prices toward the $1.30s. The recovery has been accompanied by stronger trading activity, suggesting traders are repositioning around the regulatory catalyst rather than simply chasing momentum.

On the other hand, reclaiming $1.48 to $1.50 would strengthen the short-term setup and potentially open the door toward $1.60. Prediction markets currently show meaningful interest in that level, with Coinbase markets pricing a roughly 67% probability of XRP reaching $1.60 during September.

Longer-term expectations remain considerably more divided. Our current prediction puts a 41% probability of XRP exceeding $2 in 2026 and about 29% for a move above $2.50. That makes the $2.50 target a possible bullish scenario rather than a base case. The market is also pricing substantial uncertainty, with XRP’s year-end outcomes spread across the $1.25 to $2.50 range.

Ripple holders riding this bounce have a fair case for optimism, but let’s be honest about the math: even the bullish $4.40 target represents roughly 3x from current levels on a token with a market cap already in the tens of billions. That kind of upside takes real catalysts and time.

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Why It Matters

The Senate is scheduled to hold a cloture vote on the motion to proceed to the CLARITY Act on September 15 at 2:15 PM ET. This is not a final passage vote. Instead, the motion requires 60 votes to open the door to formal Senate consideration, meaning the result could determine whether the bill moves forward for debate and further negotiations.

Heading into the weekend, XRP remains close to the middle of this range, leaving the $1.35 and $1.50 areas as key levels to watch. The $1.35 area has emerged as an important support zone for the bullish case. A sustained break below it could expose XRP to another test of the low $1.30s, especially if expectations surrounding the CLARITY Act deteriorate.

The bigger catalyst remains the Senate’s September 15 cloture vote on the CLARITY Act. The vote is scheduled for 2:15 PM ET and requires 60 votes to advance the legislation toward formal Senate debate. It is not a final passage vote, but failure could effectively derail the bill’s progress this year.

Details

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