Is the Window Closing on $200K Bitcoin Target by End of 2025?

As of late September 2025, Bitcoin is hovering in a range of $113,000-$114,000, below its August all-time high. Institutions and analysts such as Bitwise, Standard Chartered, and Arthur Hayes had forecasted a $200k Bitcoin target by December, but growing evidence suggests that this may not happen. It appears macro conditions, seasonal patterns, ETF outflows, and resistance at current levels are all working against it.